You will find my Early Thoughts section for each country, split in Semi - Finals 1/2 plus the automatic qualifiers, followed by the articles that contain data/statistical analyses and resolutions.
In the last part you will be able to find the links for the episodes of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things' co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard, @Panos_Zannettos and myself with a summary of the content for each episode plus a few selected articles with my projections-tips from the previous years. Enjoy!
Analysis / Data
Talk About all Things podcast Prediction project (Jury vote)
Talk About all Things podcast Prediction Project (Public vote)
Talk About Things/ESC Season 2 Episodes
2.01: Montenegro - Albania
2.02: Luxembourg - Greece - Slovenia - Belgium - Spain
2.03: Ireland - Finland - Ukraine - Latvia - Malta
2.04: Poland - Estonia - Norway - Lithuania - Armenia
2.05: Azerbaijan - Iceland - Australia - Netherlands - Serbia - Denmark - Germany
Croatia - Italy - Melfest
2.06: Austria - Czechia - UK - Sweden - San Marino - Portugal - Israel - Switzerland - Cyprus - Georgia - France
2.07: The one about the Running Order of the Semi - Finals. The winners, the losers and the hints from producers
2.08: The one about the Winner's Market. The contenders, the wannabe contenders and the faux/non-contenders
2.09: The one about the LondonEurovisionParty and some comments about the Semi-Finals' Q/Nq and other markets
2.10: The Q & A one! You asked and we answered!
2.11: The Talk About Things Prediction Project: A panel of 16 Eurovision analysts and experts predicts the Top-10 in Jury and Public vote
Semi - Final 1
Estonia 27/50
Belgium 28.5/50
Poland 29.5/50
Slovenia 37.5/50
Albania 42/50
Ukraine 28/50
Iceland 20.5/50
San Marino 17.5/50
Portugal 27/50
Sweden 43.5/50
Netherlands 43.5/50
Azerbaijan 34.5/50
Cyprus 37.5/50
Norway 24/50
Croatia 17/50
Semi - Final 2
Montenegro 26.5/50
Greece 29/50
Finland 38/50
Luxembourg 37/50
Malta 26.5/50
Ireland 21.5/50
Denmark 33/50
Lithuania 39.5/50
Austria 37/50
Serbia 37/50
Australia 37/50
Armenia 20.5/50
Latvia 26/50
Czechia 31.5/50
Israel 35/50
Final
Italy 41.5/50
Spain 19/50
UK 25/50
Germany 36.5/50
Switzerland 35.5/50
France 44.5/50
Blast from the past
2024
My Betting Resolution for 2024
Know Your Numbers 2024 edition
2023
2022
Eurovision 2022 Betting resolution
The year that will live in infamy
2021
The Dark Arts of Running order
Winner's market first thoughts
Winner's market the rest of the field
2019
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