Luxembourg is creating a tradition, organizing its National Final early in the season, opting for a competitive entry that goes under the radar for the whole season, only to show up during the Eurovision week and secure a respectable mid-table result.
This year, they have decided to add some Easter eggs in their entry as well, an homage to France Gall, celebrating the 60th anniversary of her win, using original footage from Eurovision '65.
Good call from Luxembourg trying to establish themselves as a country that will be sending contemporary pop entries, a bit cheesy or vanilla, but no one would expect from a tiny wealthy country to opt for trance or hard rock.
Laura Thorn is a telegenic performer and the staging of 'LPMLS' in the national final gives a rough idea of how this will be staged for Eurovision. The song itself has this kind of fairy pop nostalgia and will definitely have an audience to back it and secure qualification. Being in the second half of its Semi - Final, which has many low-tempo entries, does help the cause as well.
When in Final, things might be tougher for them in the Public vote but the song has enough to secure a respectable mid to Top-10 result with the Juries. There is a chance that it gets completely lost in the Final though and finishes near the bottom.
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Luxembourg securing qualification comfortably and get a balanced mid-table score with both constituencies to finish13th-17th.
Televoting Potential: 7.5/10
Jury Potential: 8/10
Staging Potential: 8.5/10
Momentum: 6/10
My Opinion: 7/10
Total: 37/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.1% - 0.3%
Best case scenario:
Top-10
Worst case scenario:
Bottom-3 in Final
Pre-Contest estimated points:
SF: 60-90
F: J: 50-75 - PV: 30-50 - Tot: 80-125
Share your thoughts in the comments area. Could Luxembourg repeat last year's successful result?
You can hear my thoughts about Luxembourg in the 2nd episode of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things' co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and @Panos_Zannettos at
No comments:
Post a Comment