Eurovision 2025 Early Thoughts - Denmark

 

Hallucination - Sissal

Has the time come for Denmark's first qualification for the final in the '20s? 

DMGP  might have had a better option in my opinion in Adel the Second.

The Danes have opted for Sissal, a strong vocalist and remains to be seen if they were collectively hallucinating when they were voting for her or if their entry does stand a chance to qualify. 

'Hallucination' is stronger in its studio version and the staging in DMGP lacked the energy and the movement to lift it. A dance track with a static performer will definitely struggle in Eurovision and this might be the deciding factor regarding its qualification chances.

I do believe that EBU/producers will try to help Denmark that now holds the second  longest non-qualification streak (4 NQs) and I would not be surprised if Sissal is the artist that will be closing Semi - Final 2 instead of Finland or Malta. 

Assuming that we will have 6 countries qualifying from the second half and Georgia is a certain non-qualifier, Denmark needs to beat any of Czechia, Serbia and hoping that there will be no surprise from the first half. 

I do have Denmark in my borderline list, currently leaning towards qualification but they will need to come up with a better, more powerful staging keeping also in mind that Finland, Malta, Luxembourg and Israel (all female performers) are in the same half and could hurt Sissal's chances.

If in the Final, Denmark is destined to get lost in the crowd and with a handful of stronger entries from the same region, avoiding a Bottom-5 finish will be the main focus.

What do I see in my crystal ball?

Denmark finishing 10th or 11th making it or missing the Final for a couple of points. If in the Final, they will get a few low scores from their region enough to avoid finishing in Bottom-3.

Televoting Potential: 7.5/10

Jury Potential: 7.5/10

Staging Potential: 5/10

Momentum: 6/10

My Opinion: 7/10

Total: 33/50

What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.1% - 0.3%

Best case scenario:

Top-15

Worst case scenario:

NQ 

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 30-65

F: J: 25-50 - PV: 15-40- Tot: 40-90

Share your thoughts in the comments area. Is Denmark closer than ever to their first qualification to the Final since 2019?

You can hear my thoughts about Denmark in the 5th episode of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things'  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

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