Tuesday, 18 March 2025

Eurovision 2025 Early Thoughts - Malta

 

Serving... - Miriana Conte

If you are looking for signs that the Apocalypse is coming, look no more! Malta is a sending a televote magnet for the first time in almost twenty years!

They have decided to adapt and opt for an entry that could have a chance in a 100% Public vote environment.


'Serving' is the definition of a guilty pleasure entry and Miriana is flirting with trash in a very clever way to sell the song perfectly. EBU's decision to not allow 'Kant' (the famous philosopher😏) on Eurovision stage could work in its favour with commentators mentioning the fact.

I am very intrigued to find out if Malta's "jury appeal" will apply in 'Serving' as well. There will be some public vote going to Malta's side but I do fear that Malta will be the televote magnet that will struggle the most to crack to the Top-10 of that constituency, especially with their track record.

Malta's only realistic ambition is to qualify to the Final for the first time since 2021 and I do think that they will succeed, but still do not consider them a 100% lock, again because of their traditional struggle with the public vote. 


What do I see in my crystal ball?

Malta barely qualifying to the Final (7th-10th) and then used as a filler between two stronger entries and go to sleep finishing 17th-23rd. 

Televoting Potential: 6.5/10

Jury Potential: 3/10

Staging Potential: 7/10

Momentum: 4/10

My Opinion: 6/10

Total: 26.5/50


What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.01% - 0.02%

Best case scenario:

Top-10

Worst case scenario:

Non qualification

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 40-75

F: J: 15-30 - PV: 25-50 - Tot: 40-80

Share your thoughts in the comments area. Can Malta blend their traditional Jury backing with a decent Public vote score to secure a spot in the Top-10?

You can hear my thoughts about Malta in the 3rd episode of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things'  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

Apple Podcasts  Spotify

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