Thursday, 20 March 2025

Eurovision 2025 Early Thoughts - Ireland

 

Laika Party - Emmy

Every artist has a chance to go to Eurovision if they are in the right place in the right time. 

Emmy got lucky when the big names failed to deliver in Eurosong 2025 and got the ticket to Basel. 

'Laika Party' gives me the impression of a MGP reject that tried its luck in a different country and actually made it. 

There is not much to comment about the actual entry, a dance track made for Eurovision Junior talking about a Soviet dog going to space, performed by a Norwegian artist that will represent Ireland...

Ireland has a very thin chance of qualifying and that has to do with its Semi - Final being full of friends (UK, Australia, Malta) and performing in the first part of the Semi - Final that is full of slow tempo entries. 

In order to have a chance, they will need at least a couple of high scores from their friends that I highly doubt they will get and also to receive these 1s-3s from many countries, which is not happening either.

I firmly believe that Ireland is the biggest downgrade from 2024 and something needs to be done with their national selection process that being hosted in a small studio, fails to evaluate correctly an entry with potential for a bigger stage.

I have Ireland in my certain non-qualifiers list for the moment and I reckon this is where it will stay till the end. 

What do I see in my crystal ball?

Ireland finishing last or penultimate in the Semi - Final honouring their pre-Bambie Thug tradition. If a miracle happens and they qualify to the Final, 'Laika' will be the strongest contender for the wooden spoon.

Televoting Potential: 6.5/10

Jury Potential: 2/10

Staging Potential: 6/10

Momentum: 3/10

My Opinion: 4/10

Total: 21.5/50


What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.01% - 0.02%

Best case scenario:

Qualification to the Final

Worst case scenario:

Last in Semi - Final

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 25-45

F: J: 0-10 - PV: 10-25 - Tot: 10-35

Share your thoughts in the comments area. Does Ireland have enough to avoid Bottom-3 in Semi-Final?

You can hear my thoughts about Ireland in the 3rd episode of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things'  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

Apple Podcasts  Spotify

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