If there is one country in the Eurovision '25 line-up that self-sabotaged themselves so badly that is Latvia.
They had at least three other songs that could have secured qualification and a decent result.
Instead they have decided to take the path of virtue that will not carry them too far...
'Bur Man Laimi' is a novelty/experimental entry based on the harmonies of the six girls but fails to grab the attention of the audience.
This is a song that is not competitive at all and is my favourite to finish last in the Semi - Final. Latvia's recent results point to that direction as well.
It is interesting to have this type of genres/entries in Eurovision but result-wise is counter productive as they have no impact on a 100% PV Semi - Final.
This is a lost opportunity for Latvia to build on last year's result and create a qualifying streak instead of returning back to their introversion state.
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Latvia, unfortunately, finishing last in the Semi - Final.
Televoting Potential: 3/10
Jury Potential: 7.5/10
Staging Potential: 6/10
Momentum: 3/10
My Opinion: 6.5/10
Total: 26/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.001% - 0.003%
Best case scenario:
Qualification for the Final
Worst case scenario:
Last in Semi - Final
Pre-Contest estimated points:
SF: 10-35
F: J: 15-50 - PV: 5-20 - Tot: 20-70
Share your thoughts in the comments area. Is there a qualification path for Latvia?
You can hear my thoughts about Latvia in the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things' co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and @Panos_Zannettos at
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