An anti-climactic and super complicated national final that ended with the Germans opting for the most German entry of all.
'Baller' is the type of song that Germany should be sending to Eurovision more often, highlighting their clubbing/alternative music culture that could be their trademark and would be acknowledged both by jurors and the public.
This is an entry that could land anywhere and will rely on creating some hype during the Eurovision week to boost their chances. It will need a different staging from the one they presented in the national final to avoid being blanked/downvoted by the Juries.
The make it or break it factor for Germany will be their public appeal. They do have an entry that deserves to be in the Public vote Top-10. Tynna has lots of charisma and the duo oozes authenticity which is highly appreciated and rewarded lately.
On the other hand, I would not be surprised if they fail to create some buzz and finish 22nd, but if I had to choose any of the two scenarios, I would be more confident for a Top-10 result.
With a good running order in the Final and a great staging they could be the breath of fresh air and could fill in the gap between the televote magnets and the jury oriented entries.
Germany might be the pleasant surprise of this year!
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Germany getting a mid-table result with the Juries and a Top-10 result with the Public vote to make it in the overall Top-10, finishing 8th-9th.
Televoting Potential: 8/10
Jury Potential: 6/10
Staging Potential: 6.5/10
Momentum: 7/10
My Opinion: 9/10
Total: 36.5/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.1% - 0.3%
Best case scenario:
Top-5
Worst case scenario:
Bottom-3
Pre-Contest estimated points:
F: J: 20-75 - PV: 75-125 - Tot: 95-200
Share your thoughts in the comments area. Will Juries crash the German hopes for a Top-10 result? Could the Public vote be enough to secure it?
You can hear my thoughts about Germany in the 5th episode of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things' co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and @Panos_Zannettos at
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