Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 2 - 12. Estonia...hopes for a good result

 

Qualifying Record: 7/17

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 3/7

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 9/14

Current Country Streak: 1 NQ

Current Running Order Streak: 2 Q

Estonia is back on game this year. 

'Hope' gives them hope for a good Semi-Final result that could help their cause at the Final.

The great running order as well is an extra step to go after a Top-3 result.

It will be tough, but they do have a chance. The third spot is open for them, Serbia, and Belgium.

Estonia can aim for points from both constituencies and that gives them an edge.

Will qualify because...

It will be Top-5/6 with both constituencies.

Has a great running order and will appear on stage after the some very weak entries.

Will not qualify because...

EBU decides that only three songs will qualify from this Semi-Final because of the low-quality entries. Even then, Estonia would qualify...

Realistic Expectations...

3rd-5th

Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Lithuania '19 (NQ)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

Just the fourth best slot in second half in terms of qualifications (9/14), however the second best in terms of average ranking (7.57) thanks to the great Televoting results (11/14) that have the second-best average overall (7.07)

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 10 (Js:11.6 - TV:8.3)

Points: 118.4 (Js:45.9 - TV:72.5)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.63

What happens next...

Estonia will be back in the Final and will hope for a second half draw to stand a chance to reach Top-10. Middle of the board is the natural habitat for this type of entries and that will be the case with Estonia. Bottom-5 is out of the question.

Most probable outcome for the Final...

12th-20th

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 12 (Js:12.3 - TV:10)

Points: 172.7 (Js:74.7 - TV:98)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.76