Monday, 18 April 2022

Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 1 - 15. Greece...has some dark thoughts

 

Qualifying Record: 13/15

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 5/7

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 10/14

Current Country Streak: 2 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 1 NQ



Greece has entered the female empowerment era and instead of 'Die for You', now wants to 'Die Together'...

A nice ballad that plays to Amanda's strengths. This is not the typical Greek entry, and it will be interesting to see the reception from the diaspora and televoters.

Juries will not be a problem and it is safe to say that Greece has a secured Top-3 spot there. 


Qualifying will not be a problem, however Greece is aiming higher. Staging will be the key to create that intimate feeling that could lift the song.

If that happens, we might have a Top-5 candidate. 


Will qualify because...

Jury points alone will be enough for qualification.

Running order and staging potential could lift it and bring Greece back to the contender/dark horse conversation,

Will not qualify because...

Struggles to connect with Televoters and Juries find better packages elsewhere.

The negative message of the title after a two-year pandemic and during a year is not everybody's cup of tea...

Realistic Expectations...

3rd-5th


Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Bulgaria '17 (Q), Cyprus '15 (Q)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

The second-best slot (10/14 Qs), four podium results (1-3-0).

Impressive results for both constituencies (Juries 2-0-1, Televoting 3-1-0) 



Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 9.4 (Js:10.2 - TV:10.5)

Points: 128.6 (Js:69.6 - TV:59)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.18


What happens next...

The result of the Semi and the running order are vital for a good result keeping in mind the amount of female slow tempo songs we have this year.

Greece will need to gain the momentum that has lost since the finish of the National Finals season.

A first half draw will be a negative outcome. Drawn in the second half gives them a fighting chance. 

Most probable outcome for the Final...

6th-12th







Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 18 (Js: 15.6 - TV:16.6)

Points: 92.8 (Js:53.4 - TV:39.4)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.36



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