Qualifying Record: 5/16
Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 3/7
Running Order Record 50/50 era:7/14
Current Country Streak: 2 Q
Current Running Order Streak: 3 Q
Switzerland is the proof that when you take the contest seriously, the results will follow.
Two consecutive Top-4 results after 1980-1982!
Marius Bear follows the path of Gjon's Tear and does shed a tear or two...
I have the feeling though that the Swiss streak is in trouble this year.
My main concern is the lack of any Televoting appeal. It will need an extremely high Jury score to survive and qualify to the Final a la Austria/Australia '17.
Running order does not help its case either. Staging will make it or break it for Switzerland, which will need to overshadow Lithuania and the slow tempo ladies of the second half.
Currently I consider it a marginal non-qualifier.
Will qualify because...
It will manage to finish Top-5 with the Juries.
It could be the soundtrack for the next John Lewis Xmas advert, and we know how much people love them.
Will not qualify because...
Netherlands, Portugal, Greece, Armenia, Iceland and even Croatia will have a fair share of the Jury votes and there will not be left enough for Switzerland.
Televoters will not even notice its existence.
Realistic Expectations...
10th-14th
Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...
Belgium '18(NQ), Malta '17(NQ), Israel '16(Q),
Interesting Facts about the Running Order:
Juries have 9/14 Top-10 results while Televoting has 6/14.
Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)
Ranking:10.3 (Js:9.4 - TV:10)
Points: 129.1(Js:64.1 - TV:65)
Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.98
What happens next...
If Switzerland makes it to the Final, everything depends on the running order. First half will be catastrophic for a good result.
The only achievable goal would be a left hand-side result with Juries, which might save it from a Bottom-5 result.
Most probable outcome for the Final...
20th-26th if it makes it
Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)
Ranking: 6(Js:10- TV:6)
Points: 312.7(Js:148.7 - TV:164)
Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.91
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