Tuesday 19 April 2022

Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 1 - 17. Armenia...Snaps very often


 Qualifying Record: 10/13

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 4/6

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 4/10 for #17, 12/14 for the pimp slot

Current Country Streak: 2 NQ

Current Running Order Streak: 1 NQ for #17 and pimp slot



Armenia is back after its sabbatical last year and things look better already.

The last time they performed in the Final was back in 2017!

EBU has been more than generous giving them the pimp slot and making sure that qualification can't be missed. 

'Snap' has the chance to shine and depending on the draw, it could land on the left hand-side of the scoreboard in the Final. For the moment it goes under the radar, but things might change in a few weeks.


Will qualify because...

It is authentic with an amateurish touch. 

Juries will go for it and pimp slot will guarantee a certain amount of televotes.

Will not qualify because...

The wolves decide to eat Armenia's televotes instead of the grandma and Armenia is left without the much-needed points.

Staging could be a concern with all those female slow tempo songs in the second half.


Realistic Expectations...

6th-8th

Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

North Macedonia '19 (Q), Poland '15 (Q)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

#17: The second worst slot with just 4/10 Qs, 2/3 as pimp slot. Just one podium result (0-1-0).

Televoting has 7/10 Top-10 results with no podium, while Juries have 3/10 with a win (North Macedonia '19)!

Pimp Slot: 12/14 Qs, the best record of all! Seven podium results (1-2-4)!

There is only one time that Televoting did not finish in Top-10 (Latvia '17)


Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 8.5 (Js:8.8 - TV:8.3)

Points: 146.7 (Js:72.3 - TV:74.4)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.97


What happens next...

Armenia missing the Final will be a shocker. Pimp slot might guarantee a decent finish near the first half and that could translate in a decent running order. Being a jury bait, first half is not the end of the world for them.

Most probable outcome for the Final...

8th-18th










Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 10.8 (Js:12.8 - TV:10)

Points: 184 (Js:78.3 - TV:105.7)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.74


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