Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 1 - 9. Moldova...Express

 

Qualifying Record: 10/15

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 3/7

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 11/14

Current Country Streak: 1 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 2 Q

Moldova has a thing with returning artists and this will be the third time that we will have the chance to see Zdob si Zdub. 

Will they make it to the Final for a third time? 

I think yes! 'Trenuletul' is pure fun and will explode the arena in May. 

The running order is perfect and Televoting can save it in case the Juries ignore it.

Will qualify because...

Moldova has an excellent record with up-lifting entries. Staging is not a concern.

It has the ideal running order for a Televote magnet. Most of the songs after them are down-tempo.

Enough Balkan nations in the Semi-Final to share some love...

Will not qualify because...

Juries decide to kill it.

Realistic Expectations...

7th-10th

Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Serbia '21 (Q), Israel '15(Q)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

The best overall slot in qualifications (11/14), three podium results (2-1-0) and never a last place.

The best slot for Televoting with 12/14 Top-10 Results, four podiums (2-1-1).

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 9.9 (Js:10.6 - TV:8.9)

Points: 136.6 (Js:57.3 - TV:79.3)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.72

What happens next...

Moldova most likely will be in the Final. They have enough allies to secure a decent finish and avoid a Bottom-5 result. A left hand-side result would be the best-case scenario.

 

Most probable outcome for the Final...

13th-20th

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 8.7 (Js:11- TV:7.7)

Points: 232.7 (Js:85.7 - TV:147)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.58