Monday 25 April 2022

Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 2 - 9. Cyprus...is imperative

 

Qualifying Record: 9/15

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 6/6

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 11/14

Current Country Streak: 6 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 2 Q



Who would have thought back in 2014 when Cyprus withdrew from the contest that they would have six qualifications in a row.

This is one of the longest current streaks and Cyprus hopes to reach lucky seven.

This campaign will be slightly tougher.

'Ela' is a mix of Swedish pop with some ethnic Greek elements. Interesting combination and remains to be seen if the Televoters will connect with it finding it authentic or reject it as plastic.

It might also appeal to Greek diaspora that could help it.

The running order is optimum, and it is the most encouraging element for Cyprus.

My personal opinion is that Cyprus is playing with fire this year. Chances are with their side, but if qualification happens will be borderline.

I have also some suspicions about Andromache's vocals, being the only song that has not been presented yet live.

One to watch during rehearsals.


Will qualify because...

The ideal running order for a televoting bait.

Greek diaspora can relate with it.

Will not qualify because...

It might feel a bit plastic and Eurovision by numbers (Ps: it has 10!!! songwriters)

Realistic Expectations...

7th-11th


Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Serbia '21 (Q)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:
The best overall slot in qualifications (11/14), three podium results (2-1-0) and never a last place.

The best slot for Televoting with 12/14 Top-10 Results, four podiums (2-1-1).


Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 6 (Js:7 - TV:6.2)

Points: 177.5 (Js:80.7 - TV:96.8)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.83


What happens next...

If Cyprus qualifies to the Final, I expect a classic 15th-20th finish with a balanced Juries-Televoting score.

Is one of the most consistent countries in getting those 75-100pts no matter what. Will be interested to see if the Greek diaspora will go for this one as it is more recognisable in terms of music genre.

Most probable outcome for the Final...

15th-20th










Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 15.2 (Js:13.5 - TV:14.8)

Points: 145.7 (Js:75.3 - TV:70.4)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.07



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