Eurovision 2025 Early Thoughts - Cyprus

 

Shh - Theo Evan

Producers have intrigued us giving Cyprus the pimp slot in Semi - Final 1, implying that there are some big plans around their staging.

Maybe this is the secret the song is talking about...

'Shh' is the product of a writer's camp with many 'usual suspects' involved in the production. This is reassuring regarding their qualifying chances with a team that has been there and done it before. The problem is that the public might get the feeling that this is Eurovision by numbers and they might be right.

Cyprus continues their school of entries that go under the radar during the pre-rehearsals only to come alive on stage during the week. Having Serjio Jaén on board is a good sign of their ambition to surprise us.

The main issue so far and the factor that will decide Cyprus' fate this year is Theo's vocal abilities and stage presence. The falsetto voice is not everyone's cup of tea and he might struggle to pull the whole song off. In that case the qualification will become a head to head battle versus Belgium and the best man will qualify.

For the moment I do consider Cyprus a certain qualifier and the pimp slot (13 Qs the current PV streak) makes sure that they will make it.

In the Final, I do expect a mid-table result scoring consistently with both constituencies and if they get a favourable draw and they nail the staging, Cyprus could contend for a spot in the Top-10. 

What do I see in my crystal ball?

Cyprus qualifying and then secure a score close or just over the three digits to finish in the left hand-side of the scoreboard, 12th-13th.

Televoting Potential: 8/10

Jury Potential: 6/10

Staging Potential: 9/10

Momentum: 7/10

My Opinion: 7.5/10

Total: 37.5/50

What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.1% - 0.2%

Best case scenario:

8th-10th

Worst case scenario:

Bottom-5 in Final

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 60-90

F: J: 20-50 - PV: 50-100- Tot: 70-150

Share your thoughts in the comments area. Should we consider Cyprus a Top-10 contender?

You can hear my thoughts about Cyprus in the 6th episode of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things'  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

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Eurovision 2024: The First Impression: Cyprus

 

First Thoughts:

It took an extra year for 'Liar' to land on Eurovision stage after missing out Greece's internal selection last year.

Cyprus continues the tradition that started back in '18 with a female banger after a small break last year.

'Liar' is not a masterpiece and feels a bit dated but it is created for the stage and will live or die there.

Silia is a charismatic girl and a good dancer and remains to be seen if she can nail the live. If that is the case, Cyprus will be sailing to the Final and then a mid table result is within reach.

Opening the Semi-Final was expected and it will give Cyprus an extra hand of help. It comes before Serbia and sets the tone for Ireland as well at #4. 

Cyprus needs to surpass one of these two as a bare minimum to have the chance to qualify and it does feel probable.

The main concern for the Final is what Cyprus could do with both constituencies with a lineup already packed with televote magnets and a genre that is not performing particularly well with Juries.

I think we are heading for another typical Cyprus result in Final 16th-20th and ideally they need a second half draw to maybe have a chance for a left hand side result.

It reminds me of...

A few dozen girl bop entries...

Televoting Potential: 7/10

Jury Potential: 6/10

Staging Potential: 8/10

Momentum: 6/10

My Opinion: 7/10

Total: 34/50

What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.01%-0.2%

Best case scenario:

Top-10

Worst case scenario:

NQ

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 45-75

Final: Js: 25-75 - TV: 25-75 - Total: 50-150

What do I see in my crystal ball?

Cyprus qualifying to the Final and getting a classic Cypriot result finishing 18th. Tough year for this genre. Qualification is the main goal for this year in my opinion.

You can hear my thoughts about Cyprus in the Eurovision podcast @TalkAboutThings  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

Talk About Things Eurovision 2024 Episode 05

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Eurovision 2023: The First Impression: Cyprus

 First Thoughts:

Cyprus has slightly changed the recipe that was following since Fuego back in 2018, sending a slow tempo entry.

They are lucky because Semi - Final 2 could boost their chances and create some momentum before the Final.

'Broken Heart' is a potential Top-3 candidate for the Semi and why not, if the Austrian staging is a mess, could be a contender.

The male vocalists are not that many this year, and this fact could also help Cyprus achieve a left-hand side result in the Final.

One way or the other, Cyprus' spot at the Final is secured and remains to be seen if they could overachieve. 

12th -18th is where I would currently place Cyprus. This could be the best result since Fuego.

 It reminds me of...

Cyprus '17

Televoting Potential: 7/10

Jury Potential: 7/10

Staging Potential: 7/10

Momentum: 6/10

My Opinion: 7/10

Total: 34/50

What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.3% - 0.6%

Best case scenario:

Reaching Top-10

Worst case scenario:

Bottom-5 in Final

To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question.

80% chance to qualify

What do I see in my crystal ball?

Cyprus securing a place in the Final and finishing mid-table. Potentially Top-3 in the Semi - Final as well.

Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 2 - 9. Cyprus...is imperative

 

Qualifying Record: 9/15

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 6/6

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 11/14

Current Country Streak: 6 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 2 Q

Eurovision 2021 - Semi Final 1 - 8. Cyprus

 

8. Cyprus

Qualifying Record: 8/14

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 5/5

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 7/12

Current Country Streak: 5 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 3 Q