Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 2 - 2. Israel...is self-conscious

 

Qualifying Record: 9/15

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 5/6

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 3/14

Current Country Streak: 5 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 6 NQ

All good things must come to an end! 

Israel is flirting with its first failure to qualify to the Final since 2014. 

That was a good run indeed. 

Being is slot #2 says it all! 

'I.M' depends purely on televoting and the last time an entry finished in Top-10 in #2 was Poland in 2016...

Add to that the possibility of Israeli delegation not attending the Contest and using the live on tape and you have the perfect storm!

There is still hope though. Participating in a low-quality Semi-Final like this one, means that some of the weak entries will make it to the Final.

Will qualify because...

It will finish Top-3 in televoting and that is enough.

Will not qualify because...

It will be a mess.

#2...

Serbia is performing next, and the wow factor will be lost.

Realistic Expectations...

10th-14th

Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Latvia '14 (NQ)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

Apart from being the worst slot in qualifications (3/14) is the slot with the most Bottom-3 results (six) and Last places (two).

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 5.3 (Js:5.7 - TV:7.5)

Points: 193 (Js:102.3 - TV:90.7)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.13

What happens next...

It will be interesting to see if the producer's gamble with #2 pays off. Israel qualifying will not be shocking, however does not look very prominent.

If they qualify, that will be mission accomplished having saved the qualifying streak.

Most probable outcome for the Final...

NQ 60%, if in Final 21th-25th

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 14.5 (Js:13 - TV:15.2)

Points: 168.7 (Js:86.7 - TV:82)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.06