Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 1 - 16. Norway...wants to turn a wolf into a vegetarian

 

Qualifying Record: 11/14

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 6/7

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 9/13 for #16

 10/14 for penultimate slot

Current Country Streak: 4 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 4 Q for #16

 6 Q for penultimate slot

Norway has based its selection process in pure Televoting lately and the results keep coming. 

Four straight qualifications, a Televote win both in Semi-Final and Final and the show goes on.

'Give that Wolf a Banana' aims for a great Televote result and hopes that Juries will not kill its chances.

This is the main reason that Norway is not considered as a contender. 

History will most probably repeat itself and Subwoolfer will have a result similar to Keiino's that won the Televote in their Semi and finished 11th with Juries. The current Semi-Final is slightly weaker and Subwoolfer will head easily to the Final.

Will qualify because...

Is the favorite to win the Televoting. 

Would qualify even if it got 0 Jury points.

Will not qualify because...

WWF and PETA protest about the eating habits of the wolves and force EBU to eliminate Norway.

Realistic Expectations...

2nd-5th

Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Malta '21 (Q)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

The last three Semi-Final winners all performed at #16 in fields of 18-16-17 songs!

It's the only slot with three wins and has four podiums (3-0-1).

Out of the nine Top-10 results with Juries, six finished in podium!!! (2-2-2)

Three of those medals came at Pimp slot and two at penultimate spot.

Televoting has no win but has four medals (0-2-2)

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 6.3 (Js:6.9 - TV:6.6)

Points: 178 (Js:88.7 - TV:89.3)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.99

What happens next...

Qualifying will not be an issue for Norway. Televoters will make sure of that. Getting a second half draw could make the difference between a left hand-side result and a Top-6/8 result. 

If for some reason Juries get on board as well and allow Norway to finish in a decent place, Top-4/5 could be within reach.

Most probable outcome for the Final...

6th-12th

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 11.3 (Js:11.3 - TV:12.3)

Points: 175.8 (Js:84.8 - TV:91)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.93