Thursday 21 April 2022

Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 2 - 3. Serbia...est equus obscurus


 Qualifying Record: 9/12

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 5/6

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 6/14

Current Country Streak: 3 Q

Current Running Order Streak: 1 NQ



Serbia has one of the most remarkable charts. During the Semi-Final era has never finished lower than 11th!

Qualifications are always marginal but are consistent.

The trick is serving a song that performs well with both constituencies. 

Diaspora and allies are always there to help and guarantee a successful result.

This year we have a different story, and it will be interesting to see how it will unfold.

'In Corpore Sano' is a multi-layered masterpiece and a unique staging experience. It is a song, an artistic performance, a satire, a social comment.

How will people and Juries take it is to be seen. It is certain though that people will either love it or hate it. But you cannot stay indifferent.

Being in Semi-Final 2 increases its chances and I believe that Serbia will qualify easier than in the recent past.


Will qualify because...

It is brilliant and beautifully staged. Offers something to different to everyone and it has an extraordinarily strong USP.

There are enough Balkan countries to give some love.

Will not qualify because...

Juries will bury it and televoters miss the point.



Realistic Expectations...

3rd-6th

Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Russia '21 (Q), Serbia '18 (Q), Belgium '15 (Q)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

Televoting has five Last Places!!!




Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 9 (Js:9.7 - TV:8.7)

Points:  120.2 (Js:57.2 - TV:63)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.91


What happens next...

Serbia has one of the widest ranges this year. Could go anywhere between Top-5 and 18th! 

Momentum will be the key. Jurors have proven lately that they could embrace an alternative entry that has quality (Russia '21, Azerbaijan '17) and that helps Serbia's campaign.

Most probable outcome for the Final...

6th-18th








Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 16.2(Js:21.6 - TV:11)

Points: 103.4 (Js:28 - TV:75.4)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.37



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