Qualifying Record: 7/16
Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 5/6
Running Order Record 50/50 era: 8/14
Current Country Streak: 4 Q
Current Running Order Streak: 5 Q
'De Diepte' has the potential to be one of the dark horses of the year, appealing both to Juries and Televoters.
The fact that is in Dutch, might have been a disadvantage a few years ago, but last year's Top-5 with four entries in mother language, leaves some room for hope.
Staging will be crucial, especially in this Semi-Final that is full of slow-tempo songs. Netherlands will need a Top-3 result if they want to keep their hopes alive for the Final.
For the moment, I do have it in my Top-3 for the Semi.
Will qualify because...
It has potential both with Juries and Televoting.
It has a great running order.
Netherlands has a good track record with its staging.
Will not qualify because...
S10 fails to connect with audience and misses out completely in Televoting.
Is overshadowed by Ukraine before and Moldova afterwards.
Realistic Expectations...
2nd-4th
Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...
Azerbaijan '17(Q), Azerbaijan '14 (Q)
Interesting Facts about the Running Order:
The best current qualifying streak with five.
Ideal slot for a Jury magnet (three podiums), while Televoting has only one.
Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)
Ranking: 5.2 (Js:3.3 - TV:7.3)
Points: 203.5 (Js:119.7 - TV:83.8)
Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.43
What happens next...
Running order will be indicative of Netherlands' potential. Top-10 is within reach and depending on the momentum it could aim higher.
Most probable outcome for the Final...
5th-12th
Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)
Ranking: 11 (Js: 9.7- TV:13.7)
Points: 225.5 (Js:131 - TV:94.5)
Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.39
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