Qualifying Record: 6/15
Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 1/7
Running Order Record 50/50 era: 7/14
Current Country Streak: 2 NQ
Current Running Order Streak: 5 NQ
Ireland's bad luck under the 50/50 split system continues.
The sad news is that the bad streak is more than likely to continue.
Ireland has produced one of the lowest quality national finals where someone had to win.
'That's Rich' is an amateurish entry that might attract some low Televoting points here and there but will struggle with the Juries.
Add to that the absence of UK voting in that Semi-Final and the worst possible running order of the second half and Ireland seems to be a no-hoper.
Ireland is closer to a third consecutive last place in the Semi-Final than qualification. The only non-qualifying finishes that are missing in the last seven contests are 11th, 14th and 17th...
Will qualify because...
Brooke Scullion's choreography will be the new sensation that drives masses mad. Ireland wins Televoting and progresses to the Final.
Will not qualify because...
Poor entry performed in a slot with a poor record in a poor Semi-Final...
Realistic Expectations...
16th-18th
Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...
San Marino '17 (NQ)
Interesting Facts about the Running Order:
Currently the longest non qualifying streak with 5 NQs in a row and 6/7 since SF2--2017! Bulgaria in SF1-2018 is the only survivor!
The second worst slot of the second half as well.
However, it has two podium results back in 2015 (Latvia 3rd) and 2016 (Australia winner) in a field of 17 and 18 countries.
Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)
Ranking: 13.3 (Js:12.9 - TV:12.9)
Points: 75.3 (Js:39.6- TV:35.7)
Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.11
What happens next...
Ireland will miss the Final once again and hopefully, regroup themselves, re-organise the national selection process and come back stronger next year.
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