Eurovision 2022 - Semi-Final 1 - 5. Slovenia...wants Disko back in fashion!

 

Qualifying Record: 6/17

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 4/7

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 8/14

Current Country Streak: 1 NQ

Current Running Order Streak: 3 NQ

Slovenia loves streaks in the recent years (2Qs - 2 NQs - 2 Qs) and my OCD self sees the pattern continuing this year with a second NQ in a row.

The good news is that a new qualifying circle will be opening next year!

All joking aside, 'Disko' is an interesting entry adding diversity to the contest, unfortunately not good enough to help Slovenia qualify.

Do not forget that Ukraine will be performing after that, making it a Televoting Bottom-3 candidate.

Juries might not be so harsh with them, but even there, a Top-10 result is not probable.

Will qualify because...

A disco revival becomes the new trend the week before the contest and Slovenia jumps on the bandwagon and smashes Televoting.

Jurors feel uncertain about their countries qualifying chances and start massively voting the underdogs. Slovenia qualifies as third...

Will not qualify because...

Alternative but quirky entry that lacks the massive appeal on televoters and jurors. 

Not enough allies to boost it.

#5 is the new #3...

Realistic Expectations...

14th-17th

Similar Entries of the Past in the same Slot...

Australia '21 (in terms of quirkiness, NQ), Latvia '19(NQ), Iceland '14(Q)

Interesting Facts about the Running Order:

The slot that used to be Televoting heaven until '19. It was the unofficial show-opener with Televoting magnets placed there, following a row of ballads and weaker entries. 

Is the slot with the biggest discrepancy between Televoting (10/14) and Juries (5/14).

The only slot in Televoting with five podium results (1-1-3).

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 10.4 (Js:9.9 - TV:11)

Points: 103.3 (Js:55.1 - TV:48.2)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.14

What happens next...

Slovenia books their tickets on Wednesday and heads back home.

It will be a huge upset if Slovenia qualifies.

Most probable outcome for the Final...

99% NQ, if and that is a big if qualifies 23rd-26th

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 20.3 (Js:18.5- TV:19)

Points: 67 (Js:36 - TV:31)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.16