Qualifying Record: 4/15
Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 2/6
Running Order Record 50/50 era:7/11 for the 16th slot, 8/12 for the penultimate slot
Current Country Streak: 1 Q
Current Running Order Streak: 2 Q for 16th slot, 4 Q for penultimate slot
Switzerland is the latest addition to the list of countries that have risen from the 'dead' and are after a win. There is this paradox that every 3 years, a country that has never won the contest or its last win was ages ago wins... Portugal 17' (1st win), Austria 14' (first win after 48 years) , Azerbaijan 11' (1st win), Russia 08' (1st win), Greece 05' (1st win), Latvia 02' (1st win).
Is that an omen? *
Tout l' Univers is the song that was leading the market for almost a month before falling slightly behind. Switzerland is in the mix for the win and will give its fair fight. Gjon's Tears has the vocal ability to nail this beautiful ballad, the staging potential for this one is immense. If Switzerland plays its hand correctly, the win is theirs. Find here my analysis for Switzerland as a contender.
Will qualify because...is among the favourites to win the Semi and the whole thing.
Will not qualify because...a cosmic explosion creates a bridge with a parallel universe where North Macedonia, Slovenia, Australia, and Ireland are considered the hot favourites. The two worlds mix together, and that SF is the one transmitted in our world...Switzerland finishes 16th, surpassing only Sweden...
Realistic expectations for the Semi: 1st - 2nd
Similar Entries of the Past in the same Running Order? Netherlands 19' (W), North Macedonia 19' (Q), Ireland 18' (Q), Sweden 14' (Q)
Interesting Facts about the Running Order: 16th position has secured the last SF win, back in 2019 with Netherlands, but there is no win with Juries or Televoting individually.
What happens next...: The only thing that matters for Switzerland is to get their staging right, smooth Gjon's facial expressions and get the best possible result, ideally first or second, so they can get the best possible slot in the Final. If that slot is in the second half, chances will be with their side.
A drug dealer is pointing at you with a gun and threatens to kill you if you don't predict the Final Ranking: 1st - 4th
Some More Data: It is remarkably interesting that Luca Hanni finished just 2 places above Sebalter with the PV, though to be fair that was the most difficult Final of the SF era.
In both Finals Switzerland performed better with Televoting. This is a jury magnet, so Switzerland has an extra advantage.
*Yes and no. The same logic applies to Malta (never won), France (last win 44 years ago), Italy (last win 31 years ago), Bulgaria (never won), Lithuania (never won), Iceland (never won)
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