2. Slovenia
Qualifying Record: 6/16
Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 4/6
Running Order Record 50/50 era: 3/12
Current Country Streak: 2 Q
Current Running Order Streak: 4 NQ
Slovenia is hoping to continue its successful streak and qualify to a third consecutive final for the first time ever. Hallelujah!
The first of the four entries with a religious theme. Ana's vocals are strong and the song delivers a very strong last minute, though I reckon it might be too late by then.
The Semi has a few allies that could secure some points for Slovenia, but might not be enouh.
The running order is a heavy bourden. Producers usually use that slot to ''punsh'' weak entries. The last entry qualifying from No2 was Austria back in SF2-2017 thanks to the juries. The other 2 qualifiers in the past were relying to their diaspora to secure the qualification ( Armenia SF1-2015, Poland SF2-2016).
Will qualify because... the former Yugoslav allies will reward it with 20-24pts each, diaspora will support it as much as possible, the Cypriot PV will award its 12pts to show their dislike to El Diablo and certain religious groups will show their faith by voting for it!
Will not qualify because... it is sandwiched between better entries, starting at the worst possible slot on a packed first half. Lately the bonds between the former Yugoslav countries are not so strong when the voting time comes...
Realistic expectations for the Semi: 10th - 14th
Similar Entries of the Past in the same Running Order?: Georgia 17' (NQ), Armenia 15' (Q)
Interesting Facts about the Running Order: The only countries that were able to sneak in the Top-10 in PV from the second slot is Armenia SF1-2015 and Poland SF2-2016 😨
What happens next...: Qualifying to the Final will be an epic result for Slovenia. In case that happens a realistic result would be somewhere between 16th-22nd
A drug dealer is pointing at you with a gun and threatens to kill you if you don't predict the Final Ranking: NQ - 12-14th on the semi
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