Tuesday, 27 April 2021

Eurovision 2021 - Semi Final 2 - 14. Finland

 

14. Finland

Qualifying Record: 7/15

Qualifying Record 50/50 era: 2/6

Running Order Record 50/50 era: 8/12

Current Country Streak: 1 NQ

Current Running Order Streak: 2 Q



Finland has lost its Eurovision form lately, but fear no more! Blind Channel are here to shed some light to the road for the Final...

Dark Side is a classic Finnish hard/pop rock entry, like the ones that have guaranteed some of the qualifications of the recent past. Could it work one more time? I reckon yes!

There are people that consider them a dark horse for the win. I wouldn't go that far, but a good result in the Final is very probable.

Will qualify because...The previous up-tempo entry in the SF is Serbia, is starting 9th. 

Great running order and some friendly faces also in the SF.

Will not qualify because...Bulgaria before and Switzerland after, will present the staging of the decade and Finland will be forgotten. 

Realistic expectations for the Semi:  3rd - 6th



Similar Entries of the Past in the same Running Order? There is no similar entry in terms of genre. If we check the uptempo entries then we have Azerbaijan 16' (Q), Belarus 17' (Q), Estonia 19' (Q).

Interesting Facts about the Running Order: 8/12 qualifications with 9/12 Top-10 both with Juries and Televoting, a win and a second place. 

Not bad at all for a country that is hoping for a podium result. 


What happens next...: Running order will be the key for Finland. A second half draw could secure a Top-10 spot. It will also be very important where Italy performs. If both in the same half, Finland will be affected. 

It is very possible to achieve their best result since their win back in 2006. If we apply the 50/50 system in 2014, they have technically entered the Top-10 but the last official Top-10, apart from the win, dates back to 1989...

A drug dealer is pointing at you with a gun and threatens to kill you if you don't predict the Final Ranking: 12th - 18th. 



Some More Data: Finland tends to do better with Televoting than with the Juries, but 2021 will probably be a balanced year. I do think that they will have a minor advantage with Juries who will treat it as a radio hit song.











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