Strategy that wins does not change is the Moldovan mantra for Eurovision.
It is the only nation that recycles their artists with success without losing qualifications or drops in the ranking.
Pasha Parfeny will the first out of the two 2012 alumni that will perform back-to-back in Semi-Final 1.
'Soarele si Luna' is the second pagan/shamanic entry of the Semi Final after Norway and remains to be seen if this particular genre can have two finalists or there is room only for one.
It is considered among the certain or almost certain qualifiers, but I do have some doubts about this one.
It feels very repetitive. Moldova can stage their entries, but something is missing there and that's quality.
Norway's 'Queen of Kings' is more epic, closer to 'Spirit in the Sky' or ' Higher Ground' while 'Soarele si Luna' is closer to 'Fulenn' in terms of quality.
I am not saying that it will not qualify, but its odds are way shorter than what they should be.
It reminds me of...
France '22, Slovakia '09
Televoting Potential: 7.5/10
Jury Potential: 2/10
Staging Potential: 7/10
Momentum: 5/10
My Opinion: 5/10
Total: 26.5/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.001% - 0.1%
Best case scenario:
Top-15
Worst case scenario:
Fails to qualify to the Final.
To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...
50/50
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Sandwiched between Israel and Sweden, Moldova has one of the worse if not the worst draw from both Semi-Finals. It is borderline and I am currently leaning on the non-qualification side.
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