This is a tough one to assess. A step back from last year.
'I Wrote a Song' could have been a Top-5 entry back in 2005 but it feels very outdated now.
In theory is not as bad as many people think but there are many grey areas that could land it somewhere in mid-table even a bit lower.
The main reason is that there are four other entries from the Big-6 that could all be in Top-10, or at least the three of them will be and there is no room for an extra Big.
Performing last is good news and could boost the Televoting score a bit, however I do get the feeling that UK's entry might be perceived as the first interval act before the voting starts.
A realistic goal would be to enter the Top-10 with one of the two constituencies.
It reminds me of...
Moldova '21, Serbia '20, Australia '18
Televoting Potential: 7/10
Jury Potential: 6/10
Staging Potential: 7/10
Momentum: 7.5/10
My Opinion: 7/10
Total: 34.5/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.01% - 0.1%
Best case scenario:
12th-15th
Worst case scenario:
Last Place
What do I see in my crystal ball?
UK getting some points here and there and finishing in the middle of the scoreboard 13th-16th.
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