Israel has one of the longest qualifying streaks with the last non qualification dating back to 2014 and that streak will not end this year.
'Unicorn' if staged properly could become one of the dark horses this year.
Noa Kirel is a big name in Israel and the budget to produce the song is one of the highest if not the highest among all participants.
The song feels a bit disjointed at parts but there are ways to mask these parts live on stage.
Televoting could be remarkably high if the staging is perfect and remains to be seen if the jurors will find something to punish or will recognize the high quality of the staging/choreography etc.
EuroJury might help to get an idea where this one will land. The left hand-side finish is guaranteed and probably the Top-10.
If the Juries award Unicorn with a score similar to Fuego or SloMo then better watch out.
My gut feeling says that Israel will land somewhere between 3rd-9th but with a perfect storm could become a contender. One to watch out.
It reminds me of...
Moldova '21, Cyprus '18, '19
Televoting Potential: 9/10
Jury Potential: 8/10
Staging Potential: 9.5/10
Momentum: 8.5/10
My Opinion: 7.5/10
Total: 42.5/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
1% - 7.5%
Best case scenario:
Dark Horse
Worst case scenario:
12th-15th
To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...
To Qualify with a 75% - 90% certainty
What do I see in my crystal ball?
I have Israel currently somewhere between 4th-8th, relying on a Top-5 televote score and waiting to see if the response from the jurors will be positive. If the answer is yes, we will have a thriller on Saturday night...
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