The last national final winner for 2023 is Mimicat and she hopes to continue the Portuguese golden era in Eurovision.
She has a tough task, performing in the first half of Semi-Final 1 but not all odds are against her.
'Ai Coracao' has all these folklore elements that are appreciated by an international audience without making the entry look kitch or outdated.
Portugal has a great track record with entries that do promote its traditional music and performing at #5 is not as bad as many people might think.
#5 currently has the longest non qualification streak with 5 in a row, however it is a good slot for an entry that relies on Televoting and sandwiched between Latvia and Ireland does them a favour.
It will not be an easy task, but I currently have Portugal on my qualifiers list. It is also the only feel-good song performing from slots #3 up to slot #9 when Israel performs.
It reminds me of...
Portugal '09, '96
Televoting Potential: 7.5/10
Jury Potential: 6/10
Staging Potential: 7.5/10
Momentum: 7/10
My Opinion: 7.5/10
Total: 35.5/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.001% - 0.01%
Best case scenario:
Top-15 in the Final
Worst case scenario:
Fails to qualify
To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...
To Qualify with a 55% - 65% certainty
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Portugal making it to the Final, where they get some decent points from both constituencies to avoid a Bottom-5 result. It does shout a 17th-20th entry.
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