When everyone else zags then you must zig. This is Switzerland's mantra in Eurovision for the fourth year in a row, sending a slow tempo entry in a year where Televoting only Semi-Finals will make sure that very few of them will make it to the Final.
This is the most difficult mission for Switzerland this year. It will be more difficult to qualify to the Final than secure a left hand-side finish in the Final.
Running order might become a double edge knife. It can either stand out between the chaos of Croatia and the Israeli entry, if the latter is not staged properly or it could be the dull entry that everybody forgets.
My instinct says that Switzerland will make it, but I would not be surprised if they fail to qualify.
There are many anti-war entries this year, but Remo's vocals will make sure that if and when in the Final, he will deliver and will lift 'Watergun' above the competition.
Switzerland has the skills to be a Top-5/6 with the Juries but Televoting-wise Top-10 is the absolute maximum.
A Top-5 result could be within reach with the perfect staging and a second half draw among televoting magnets. It must qualify first though...
It reminds me of...
Switzerland '22, '21, Ukraine '10
Televoting Potential: 6.5/10
Jury Potential: 9/10
Staging Potential: 8.5/10
Momentum: 8.5/10
My Opinion: 7.5/10
Total: 40/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.01% - 1%
Best case scenario:
Top-5 in the Final
Worst case scenario:
Fails to qualify
To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...
To Qualify with a 50% - 60% certainty
What do I see in my crystal ball?
It will be a bumpy road for Switzerland in the Semi-Final, and they will need to wow the public with the staging to stand out and make it to the Final.
If they get there, with some luck a Top-10 finish is within reach and if the perfect storm hits, maybe a Top-5.
One step at a time...
No comments:
Post a Comment