Sunday 1 May 2022

Eurovision 2022 - The Betting Book (final update)


 I should have created that post some time ago, but unfortunately, I have been busy with the previews for the Semi-Finalists.

I have posted some time ago my resolution for this year.

The book remains the same in terms of units (1000). 

The main difference is that instead of having 200 units for each Semi-Final and 600 for the Final, my split is 100 for each Semi-Final and 800 for the Final.

The reason I have decided to change strategy is that Semi-Finals tend to be drier in terms of opportunities and I was ending up going after long shots instead of trying to secure my returns.

Nothing changes with the returned units that could be used again in SF-2 or Final or both. 

Every time that I will be giving a tip, even if it is in a different post, this post will be updated, and I will be twitting with the link as well. 

I will also be posting the link in here with the full analysis and the reasoning for every tip that I give.

Good luck with all your bets and predictions! Let's start!


Semi-Final 1

Austria Lay @ 2.00 x 25 units (17.04)

Greece Semi-Final Winner @ 4.80 (trading companies) x 10 units (10.05)

Albania not to qualify @ 4.50 (Betfair Sportsbook) x 30 units (10.05)

Iceland to qualify @ 2.62 (trading companies) x 35 units (10.05)


Units invested: 100

Settled Bets: 276.7 units


Semi-Final 2

San Marino to qualify @ 2.30 x 25 units (23.04)

Romania not to qualify @1.80 x 55 units (27.04)

Ireland to qualify @ 4.00 x 20 units (12.05)

Belgium not to qualify @ 2.62 x 25 units (bet365 - 12.05)

Serbia to win the Semi-Final @ 26.00 x 5 units (12.05)

Poland to win the Semi-Final @ 5.50 x 20 units (it is available higher in certain betting companies) (12.05)


Units invested: 150

Settled Bets: 0 units


Final

Top Balkan Country Serbia @5.00 x 30 units (05.05)

Top Baltic Country Latvia@4.00 x 20 units (05.05)

Italy to win @ 26.00 x 50 units (Exchange, Smarkets) for all 4 (14.05)

Sweden to win @ 11.00 x 26.7 units (14.05)

Spain to win @ 23.00 x 125 units (14.05)

UK to win @ 10.50 x 125 units (14.05)

Netherlands to finish 8th or higher @2.00 x 200 units (bet365)

Spain to finish Top-4 @ 2.56 x 250 units (Exchange, Smarkets)

Spain to beat Sweden @ 2.62 x 100 units (bet365)

Finland to finish last @ 67.00 x 30 units (William Hill)

Belgium to finish last @ 14.00 x 20 units (Unibet)


Units invested: 976.7 units

Settled Bets: 1052 units


Semi-Finals Units invested: 250

Semi-Finals Units Returned: 276.7

Semi-Finals ROI: 10.68%


Final Units Invested: 976.7

Final Units Returned: 1052

Final ROI: 7.71%


Eurovision 2022 Units Invested: 1226.7

Eurovision 2022 Units Returned: 1328.7

Eurovision 2022 ROI: 8.31%


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