Eurovision 2022 - Final - Italy...back-to-back wins will give me chills

50/50 Split Era Performance ('14-'21)

Wins: 1 (2021)

Podium: 3 (2015-2nd*, 2019-2nd, 2021-1st))

Top-10: 5 (2015-2nd, 2017-6th, 2018-5th, 2019-2nd, 2021-1st)

Bottom-5: 1 (2014-23rd)

It has finally happened! Italy was after the win since 2015 and it was a matter of time that it would happen.

The benefits of having an extraordinarily strong national selection process. 

San Remo's upgrade in the last three years has turned Italy in the new Eurovision powerhouse taking the reins from Sweden, not only in terms of results, Italy had them already, but in terms of setting the pace and trends for the contest.

They are back for another strong campaign, and I do this is the closest we have been to a back-to-back win since Ireland's triple crown back in 1992-1994. 

My humble opinion...

I still consider Italy the country to beat. We still have a long way to go, and Italy has its vulnerabilities, but it does have more options and paths to choose from that lead to the win. It is the only country from the contenders that could win without having to win any of the two constituencies, not that it cannot win at least the Juries. 

They could have a like Netherlands' 2019 result (Juries-3rd, Public vote-2nd) and take the win. 

The less than three minutes version is slightly off compared to the original but do not forget that most of the viewers that night will not have heard the San Remo version.

We do know that Italy will perform #9 which is not great but not that bad either. 

My latest concern, which might be just theoretical, is if the 'sun malfunction' could cause any problems to their score with any or both constituencies. A few negative comments from commentators could cost points. The same could happen with Jurors. 

Realistic expectations:

1st-4th

Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 7.9 (Js:10.3 - TV:7.3)

Points: 338.3 (Js:129.7 - TV:208.6)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 0.62