Tuesday, 3 May 2022

Eurovision 2022 - Final - France...is looking for the missing spark

 

50/50 Split Era Performance ('14-'21)

Wins: -

Podium: 1 (2021-2nd)

Top-10: 2 (2016-6th, 2021-2nd)

Bottom-5: 2 (2014-26th, 2015-26th)


Will France's successful streak continue? 

They were so close last year to their first win since 1977. 

They have also achieved their best result since 1991 (second). 

Impressive performance from France that chose the difficult way this year sending an electro-ethnic song.

It has Denmark 2018 and Ukraine 2021 vibes for sure.

Fulenn is destined to do well with public vote. How well is the question and my answer is that anything between Top-5 and Top-10 is possible. The question is what happens with Juries. Anywhere close to the middle could secure them a Top-10 finish. 

My humble opinion...

Can France be the fourth Big-5 country to enter Top-10? It has not happened since 1997, the first year we have had the Big-5...
I believe that 15th is the worst-case scenario and depending on their public vote points, they can end-up 8th-10th. 
We should wait for the running order to see if there will be any tells regarding France's dynamics.

Realistic expectations:

8th-15th











Give me more Data... ('14-'21 SF Averages)

Ranking: 14.4 (Js:12.6 - TV:15.6)

Points: 171.9 (Js:93 - TV:78.9)

Jury to Televoting points Ratio: 1.18




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