I have to admit that I do not remember a country being so low-key in Eurovision like Azerbaijan is in the last two years.
I do get the sense that they do not care about Eurovision at all.
There is no PR, no promo tours and everything is on auto-pilot until they get tired and withdraw.
'Özünlə Apar' is a very weak attempt to create an entry with Azerbaijani traditional music elements present.
It is not a bad song but it feels like something that was made in a hurry. Its main problem is that there is no audience for this particular entry.
It is very middle on the road without a call for action. I would be more surprised to see Azerbaijan qualifying than finishing last in Semi - Final.
It reminds me of...
Armenia '18 (NQ)
Televoting Potential: 5/10
Jury Potential: 6/10
Staging Potential: 5/10
Momentum: 3/10
My Opinion: 6/10
Total: 25/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.0001%
Best case scenario:
Qualifying to the Final
Worst case scenario:
Last in Semi - Final
Pre-Contest estimated points:
SF: 5-35
Final: Js: 10-20 - TV: 10-20- Total: 20-40
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Azerbaijan getting on the first plane back to Baku on Wednesday morning. Not the worst song in the Semi - Final but most probably the one with the smallest target group.
Would be a worthy fun bet for Last Place in Semi - Final if that market is available somewhere.
You can hear my thoughts about Azerbaijan in the Eurovision podcast 'Talk About Things' co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and @Panos_Zannettos at
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