Friday, 19 April 2024

Eurovision 2024: The First Impression: Moldova

 

First Thoughts:

There are two or three countries this season that they give me the impression that they are not bothered to do Eurovision this year and Moldova is one of them.

Maybe it is the fact that Moldova had a series of very strong that did really well and we kind of forgot that bad years can also happen especially when your broadcaster does not have the funds to produce an expensive show.

It is Natalia Barbu again, being the sixth year in a row that Moldova is sending a returning artist to Eurovision and she has been the clear favorite the their national final.

'In the Middle' tries to blend pop and ethno elements but the result is not very successful. Even in that very weak second half of this Semi-Final, Moldova feels like the weakest link and I struggle to find a way this entry could qualify to the Final.

The only realistic goal would be to avoid the Bottom-3 in the Semi - Final and that could happen but will be far away from the qualification threshlod.


It reminds me of...

 Moldova '16, '19 (NQ x 2)


Televoting Potential: 6/10

Jury Potential: 4/10

Staging Potential: 6/10

Momentum: 4/10

My Opinion: 6/10

Total: 26/50


What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.0001%

Best case scenario:

11th in Semi - Final

Worst case scenario:

Last Place in Semi - Final

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 10-35

Final: Js: 5-25 - TV: 15 -25 - Total: 20-50


What do I see in my crystal ball?

Moldova finishing 12th-13th in Semi - Final, far away from qualification with a double digit score. This is one of the three or four entries that I consider 100% non qualifiers no matter what.


You can hear some thoughts about Moldova in the third episode of our Eurovision podcast 'Talk About Things'  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

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