I could write a whole essay about what happened in Iceland this season and that essay could extend to 100 pages and only half page would have been about the actual song that will represent Iceland this year.
Hera Bjork is returning to Eurovision after fourteen years with an entry that feels more dated than her 2010 entry...
Iceland has taken the right decision to send an entry that represents Iceland and not Palestine or anti-Israel and a huge headache for EBU is out of the way.
Unfortunately for Iceland though that decision means that at the same time they have rejected a certain Top-10 and potentially a Top-5 result and will be staying in Semi - Final 1.
I do have Iceland as the weakest entry of the whole lineup this year and producers placing them at #8 in running order after all the big names is the final nail in their coffin.
I will be surprised if Iceland does not finish last or avoids a Bottom-3 result.
It reminds me of...
UK '21 (Last Place)
Televoting Potential: 4/10
Jury Potential: 6/10
Staging Potential: 5/10
Momentum: 3/10
My Opinion: 5/10
Total: 23/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
.0000001%
Best case scenario:
Avoiding Bottom-3 in Semi -Final
Worst case scenario:
Last in Semi
Pre-Contest estimated points:
SF: 5-25
Final: Js: 0-10 - TV: 0-10 - Total: 0-20
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Sometimes doing the right thing comes with consequences and had Iceland wanted to reject Bashar as their entry, they should have opted for the other available option in their national final, but instead they went for the big local name.
Finishing last in Semi - Final.
You can hear my thoughts about Croatia in the Eurovision podcast 'Talk About Things' co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and @Panos_Zannettos at
Talk About Things Eurovision 2024 Episode 05
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