Ireland's National Final packed in a weekly show has become one of my guilty pleasures during the NF season, however this format is destined to produce poor/average entries whose only goal is to qualify to the Final.
Ireland will try to break its bad streak (2018 the last presence in Final) and they have a mountain to climb.
Wild Youth could be a thing if we were in Eurovision '92-'95. We Are One is a classic anthemic teenage school band entry and this is not a good sign. There is an audience for this kind of songs but I heavily doubt is one that watches Eurovision.
The Allocation draw has not helped either with Ireland being drawn in the wrong part of the Semi Final (first) in the powerhouse loaded Semi Final (first). UK is also voting in the other Semi Final and assuming that the first half will produce maximum three qualifiers and knowing that Norway already has a stronger entry, Ireland needs to surpass three entries between Serbia, Portugal, Malta, Latvia, and Croatia...
It reminds me of...
Slovenia '22, Ireland '21, Denmark '16
Televoting Potential: 6/10
Jury Potential: 5/10
Staging Potential: 6.5/10
Momentum: 2/10
My Opinion: 6/10
Total: 25.5/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.001% - 0.01%
Best case scenario:
Marginal qualification and a Bottom-3 result
Worst case scenario:
Fails to qualify and finishes last in Semi - Final.
To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...
Not to Qualify with a 55% - 75% certainty
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Ireland drawn to perform at slots #2 or #3 finishing in Bottom-3 of the Semi Final.
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