Croatia is going all in this year on a make-or-break situation, and I must admit that I feel for them.
With just 2 qualifications in the last 10 contests with the most recent one back in 2017 it was time for Croatia to try something different.
This is the first country so far that is trying to take advantage of the new rules that apply in Semi-Finals and will try to make it using a mid '00s recipe.
Mama SC is not a joke entry; it has a political background however I do expect most of the viewers to perceive it as a bad joke.
This entry will test the waters for similar songs in the future and will give some answers regarding this type of entries. Do they belong in the past or now that the jurors are not voting there is some room to go wild.
The thing is that a song just needs to find an audience and there is no negative voting in Eurovision.
I do think that Croatia stands a chance to qualify but if they fail to make it, they will fail big finishing last.
If the later happens it is safe to assume that this will be the last Croatian entry in Eurovision for some time.
It reminds me of...
This is tricky...Germany '98, Austria '03,
Televoting Potential: 7.5/10
Jury Potential: 2/10
Staging Potential: 7/10
Momentum: 1/10
My Opinion: 5/10
Total: 22,5/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.001% - 0.009%
Best case scenario:
Qualify to the Final
Worst case scenario:
Finish last in Semi - Final
To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...
60% not to qualify
What do I see in my crystal ball?
If EBU finally decides to redeem themselves for all those bad draws that gave Croatia all these years and give them a favorable slot, with a momentum and the wow factor, Croatia can make it to the Final which is their goal.
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