Australia, Greece, Iceland, Serbia, Cyprus, Serbia, Belarus, Slovenia, Estonia, San Marino will be heard again this Saturday.
The non qualifying shocker was Hungary and looking at the number of views in youtube, it's clear that the public did not vote for it even though I'm sure that it was Top-10 with the juries.
The shock qualifier is of course San Marino, that must have been Top-5 with the televoting to make it to the final.
Jan Ola Sand tweeted this morning that it was a close race with the 10th place being only 2 points away from 11th and also mentioned that Juries and Televoting disagreed twice for their Top-10. That is a sign that there is a trend that started last year with songs being less balanced and opting to attract either the voters or the juries.
Personally I got 7/10 but was aware that Belarus and Estonia were marginal and could make it to the final. I had Belgium and Georgia to my Top-10 and I do think that Georgia missed it by far and Belgium might have ended 12th or 13th. Looking at the views I reckon that Estonia was saved by the Juries and Portugal was killed by them.
Regarding the Top-3 and the winner of the Semi, Australia must be the winner and Serbia looks like a secured Top-3. The 3rd country is either Greece or Iceland with Czechia having a slight chance as well. These 5 countries will have a gap on the scoreboard with the rest of the field.
Betting wise I have a return of 40 units from Poland's NQ and an open bet with Serbia being Top-3 in the Semi that can give me back 88 units and secure a profit for the 1st Semi.
And for those that played Eurovision Challenge we have 19 units to invest to the next Semi!. 14 bets to go and reach the 10.000 units!
Tonight I will post again for tomorrow's Semi Final 2 but let's have a look at the current Winner's market.
Netherlands is shortening since Sunday after the rumors that the extra technical rehearsal was good. Currently @ 2.70 .
France and Australia were two overreactions of the market that slowly regressed and went back to 22 and 12. At one point they were trading @ 7.00.
Sweden is still the 2nd favourite stable @ 7.00. Russia is also trading @ 12 and is followed by Azerbaijan, Iceland and Italy. Switzerland and Malta close the current Top-10.
Nothing is over yet and there is that group of countries that can end up everywhere and of course do not forget those countries that go under the radar to land on Top-5 and Top-10. We have always one in each Top.
It is important to mention that we do have a favorite packed second half with Italy, Spain, France from Big-5 plus Iceland, Australia are all there. Only 3 more spots available there.
Will post later tonight with my thoughts about tomorrow and my tips for Semi 2.
For those in twitter you can find my comments and thoughts there as well
https://twitter.com/eurovisionbets
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