Eurovision 2024: The First Impression: Switzerland

 

First Thoughts:

Switzerland is the biggest mystery of this year's edition. Still remember the confusion that 'The Code' has created the day of its release.

It took the market a day or two to make up their minds about this one and this has been the trend this year.

First of all kudos to Switzerland for taking the risk and try something completely different. The route they have taken might have more bumps ahead but could prove the most rewarding one.

The structure of the song feels chaotic, however there is something distinctive and melodic there. The million dollar question is if Nemo could nail the live and how can they stage this one to keep the music video atmosphere as well.

This is by far the most interesting rehearsal that I will be looking forward to watch this year. 

'The Code' has the potential to satisfy both constituencies and this is the main reason why it is among the group of contenders. I do find its current odds short though with all the uncertainties that are currently present. 

Because of all these uncertainties its range could vary from winner to mid-table, the raw materials are there though, so Top-5 is within reach and it could pave its path for the win from there.

It reminds me of...

Belgium '15 (Q)

Televoting Potential: 8.5/10

Jury Potential: 9.5/10

Staging Potential: 9/10

Momentum: 8.5/10

My Opinion: 10/10

Total: 45.5/50

What the fair winning chance % would be?

2%-10%

Best case scenario:

Winner

Worst case scenario:

10th-13th

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 125-175

Final: Js: 100-250 - TV: 75-225 - Total: 175-475

What do I see in my crystal ball?

I want Switzerland to do well, they carry one of the best momentums lately with four straight appearances in the Final in the last four contests  with a Top-3 and a Top-4 rankings.

Having their last win back in '88 makes them an ideal candidate for the win. 

Everything will depend on Nemo's ability to carry this one live. If they can do it a podium result and even the win is within reach. 

My early prediction is 2nd-3rd.

You can hear my thoughts about Croatia in the Eurovision podcast 'Talk About Things'  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

Talk About Things Eurovision 2024 Episode 05

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