Wednesday, 1 May 2024

Eurovision 2024: The First Impression: Armenia

 

First Thoughts:

Ladaniva have been among the biggest 'winners' of the pre-parties season.

An excellent choice from Armenia that will bring lots of energy on stage.

'Jako' is not a sophisticated song, it is made to come alive on stage and get the crowd going.

I don't know if it could reach the 'Trenuletul' levels of public vote but it is a locked Top-10 with that constituency.

Eurojury has also been kind to them so if these results get replicated next week, we might have a solid Top-10 candidate. 

The Semi - Final will not be a problem for them and remains to be seen who will do better between them and Greece that is also fishing in the same pond genre wise and also the same geographic area for the higher points.

I do think that a left-hand side result is almost certain and Armenia will have one of the wildest reactions from the crowd.


Televoting Potential: 8.5/10

Jury Potential: 7/10

Staging Potential: 9/10

Momentum: 8/10

My Opinion: 8.5/10

Total: 41/50


What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.1-0.5%

Best case scenario:

Top-6/8

Worst case scenario:

14th-16th

Pre-Contest estimated points:

SF: 90-120

F: J: 30-90 - PV: 75-175 - Tot: 105-265


What do I see in my crystal ball?

Armenia sailing to the Final and then, depending on the running order, getting a result near the Top-10. 

9th-12th is where I currently have them. 

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