Showing posts with label Eurovision Spain. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Eurovision Spain. Show all posts

Wednesday, 19 March 2025

Eurovision 2025 Early Thoughts - Spain


 Esa Diva - Melody

Spain is the living proof that money cannot buy happiness. Benidorm is giving less and less every year that goes by and Chanel proved to be a fluke.

This year some changes were made in the structure but instead of having a better overall package we were left with a number of entries that were all set up for Eurovision fail.

 Spain is sending the same entry they have been sending the last 25 years. 'Esa Diva' is twenty years late in the party to have an impact and things will be tough for them with both constituencies.

Melody is a charismatic performer that could be acknowledged by the jurors, but she is missing a song and the only thing I could really hope for Spain is that they finally learn the lesson and change everything in their selection process and the acts that participate in Benidorm.

What do I see in my crystal ball?

Spain fighting hard to avoid last place and finishing with a single digit overall score. 25th-26th.

Televoting Potential: 3/10

Jury Potential: 3/10

Staging Potential: 6/10

Momentum: 3/10

My Opinion: 4/10

Total: 19/50


What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.001%

Best case scenario:

Top-15

Worst case scenario:

Last Place

Pre-Contest estimated points:

F: J: 0-10 - PV: 0-15 - Tot: 0-25

Share your thoughts in the comments area. Does Spain have enough to avoid a Bottom-3 finish?

You can hear my thoughts about Spain in the 2nd episode of the Eurovision Analysis podcast 'Talk About Things'  co-hosted with the Eurovision experts @mat_rickard and  @Panos_Zannettos at

Apple Podcasts  Spotify

Monday, 13 February 2023

Eurovision 2023: The First Impression: Spain

 

First Thoughts:

Spain has been a tough one to assess. I do like the song. I love how the electro bits cover the flamenco part and together they create a post-modern version of a folklore music style.

Juries and Televoters might love it or might hate it. I would not be surprised if Spain ends up in Top-3 or Bottom-3. 

It will probably be somewhere in the middle or a bit better. I have Spain as a Top-10 candidate for the moment, and I do believe that this one will get hyped when the Eurojury voting starts. Jurors have no reason to punish Spain and I do believe that they will finish high there.

My main concern is the televoters. Eaea is not an easy listening, and the majority of the viewers will hear it just once. Will it be enough to absorb all the different elements and layers that the song has or is it going to be a hit and miss?

Benidorm fest has elevated Spain's status in the contest, and it is a matter of time for Spaniards to celebrate a win.

It reminds me of...

Spain '90, Spain '96


Televoting Potential: 8.5/10

Jury Potential: 9/10

Staging Potential: 9/10

Momentum: 9/10

My Opinion: 9/10

Total: 44.5/50


What the fair winning chance % would be?

1% - 5%

Best case scenario:

Win

Worst case scenario:

Bottom-5


What do I see in my crystal ball?

Solid Top-10 candidate that could aim higher and with the perfect storm could even claim the victory.