Voyager have finally made it to Eurovision! They have tried for some time and now it's their moment.
'Promise' is the first televote friendly entry that Aussies send since 2019.
Not exactly the televote magnet but, in a weak field like Semi-Final 2 and performing in the second half is more than enough for them to qualify.
Activating the Jury power in Final could be enough for them to finish mid-table. The best-case scenario would be a Top-10 finish that feels too much for the moment but remember where Australia was pre-rehearsals in 2019...
I personally like the song, but it is not very high on my list. It has potential though to come alive on stage.
Currently I have it as the second-best option to close Semi-Final 2 and if that is the case a Top-3 result in the Semi could give them a decent draw and a chance to chase Top-10.
For the moment 13th-18th seems like a fair estimation.
It reminds me of...
Estonia '22, Cyprus '16, Georgia '15
Televoting Potential: 5/10
Jury Potential: 7/10
Staging Potential: 7.5/10
Momentum: 5/10
My Opinion: 6.5/10
Total: 31/50
What the fair winning chance % would be?
0.01% - 0.1%
Best case scenario:
10th-12th
Worst case scenario:
Non qualification
To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...
60% to qualify
What do I see in my crystal ball?
Australia qualifying one way or the other to the Final and get enough points to avoid Bottom-5 but not enough to threaten the Top-10.
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