Wednesday 1 March 2023

Eurovision 2023: The First Impression: Estonia

 

First Thoughts:

Eesti Laul has not produced a great winner in the last few years and 'Bridges' follows the same tune.

Had it been in Semi-Final 1, qualification would have been an uphill. However, Semi-Final 2 is turning to one of the weakest Semi-Finals in history and Estonia, one way or the other, will find its way to the Final.

What happens there is a different story. This is a jury friendly song but not one of those that will force the jurors to vote for it. Some low scores and a few neighbour votes might be enough to save it from finishing Bottom-5.

Televoting wise, this is not a bad entry, but would you vote for your 8th-10th favorite song? 

'Bridges' might have some luck for a middle table result if they finish 3rd-4th in the Semi-Final which is not that farfetched with the current line-up, and they get a decent draw in the Final.

For me this is an entry that shouts 18th-22nd.


It reminds me of...

Estonia '12, Greece '15, Poland '17, Georgia '17


Televoting Potential: 6.5/10

Jury Potential: 7/10

Staging Potential: 7/10

Momentum: 6.5/10

My Opinion: 6.5/10

Total: 33.5/50


What the fair winning chance % would be?

0.01% - 0.25%

Best case scenario:

13th-16th

Worst case scenario:

Non qualification

To Qualify or Not to Qualify? That's the question...

65% to qualify


What do I see in my crystal ball?

A strong finish near Top-3 in the Semi-Final and then used as a filler in the Final, finishing 18th-22nd.

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